SCANNER
Gold $5,000 & FOMC Eve — Monday, March 18, 2026
10 A+ Setups
RegimeEarly Risk-Off
Avg Score88.5 / 100
VIX22.37
WTI$103.52
New Tickers90%
Early Risk-Off 10 Setups Score 89.2 FOMC Eve

Market Regime — Early Risk-Off

Regime score 0.40. Screener in mode Neutral: pondérations pre_squeeze 30%, momentum 25%, breakout 25%, short squeeze 20%. VIX at 22.37. Gold $5,011, Brent $103.52. High focus on FOMC today.

0.00
VIX
1.00
Credit
0.52
TLT
0.50
Liquidity
0.50
DXY
0.33
SPX
Strategy Weights (Early Risk-Off)
Average Setup Score

Why Gold & Energy Dominate This Scan

Suite aux rétrospectives (B — 45.5% HR on resolved trades), we adjusted: EU/Asia ETFs eliminated (0% hit rate across 12 setups in last retro). SAP permanently blacklisted. Energy momentum and defensive/hedge strategies showed the highest hit rates. This scan concentrates on: (1) Energy producers riding $115 oil (FANG, MPC, DVN, CF, XLE), (2) Gold safe havens at historic super-margins (GLD, NEM), (3) Defensive staples (KR, ADM), (4) Bond hedge before FOMC (TLT). 90% new tickers vs Mar 13 scan — only TLT repeats as the FOMC catalyst creates a distinct setup from 4 days ago.

Rotation Sectorielle

Leaders

  • Financials, Comm Services, Energy, Industrials, Tech
  • Hot Industries: Computer Hardware (+5%), Airlines (+4%), Chemicals (+3%)

Laggards

  • Materials, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary
  • Cold Industries: Specialty Retail (-7%), Precious Metals (-3%), Pharma (-3%)

Today’s 10 Setups

Curated from 5,953 symbols screened across 4 strategies (Short Squeeze 40%, Pre-Squeeze 30%, Breakout 25%, Momentum 25% - Mode Neutral). Large-cap focus. Today's scan highlights momentum in Biotech and Energy with a heavy focus on the FOMC decision.

Setup Profile (Aggregate)
Sector Allocation

EDSA — Edesa Biotech, Inc.

Short Squeeze
US 🇺🇸 Short Squeeze
$7.00
+36.7%

Investment Thesis

FTD Threshold List - Fail-to-Deliver actif. High $8.13 intraday. Possible squeeze play.

Entry
$7.00
Stop Loss
$4.88
Target 1
$11.25
Target 2
$15.00
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

ANTX — Antibe Therapeutics

Momentum
US 🇺🇸 Momentum
$5.00
+6.6%

Investment Thesis

RSI 76.6 | SMA50 $2.16. Earnings le 24/03. Price 3x au-dessus de la SMA50.

Entry
$5.00
Stop Loss
$3.70
Target 1
$7.61
Target 2
$9.50
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

DAWN — Day One Biopharmaceuticals

Breakout
US 🇺🇸 Breakout
$21.29
-0.3%

Investment Thesis

Consolide au sommet 52w ($21.43). Volume soutenu 5.2M. MCap $2.2B.

Entry
$21.29
Stop Loss
$20.14
Target 1
$23.59
Target 2
$26.00
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

DWSN — Dawson Geophysical

Momentum
US 🇺🇸 Momentum
$4.90
+5.6%

Investment Thesis

Energy/O&G Services. RSI 82.7. Secteur energy soutenu par le pétrole. Earnings le 27/03.

Entry
$4.90
Stop Loss
$4.32
Target 1
$6.07
Target 2
$7.50
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

KORE — KORE Group Holdings

Pre-Squeeze
US 🇺🇸 Pre-Squeeze
$8.97
0.0%

Investment Thesis

RSI 88.8 (surachat extrême). SMA50 $6.47. Prudence conseillée.

Entry
$8.97
Stop Loss
$7.50
Target 1
$11.00
Target 2
$13.00
R/R
1.5
Horizon
3-15 days

BW — Babcock & Wilcox

Momentum Expansion
US 🇺🇸 Momentum Expansion
$...
+26.9%

Investment Thesis

Extreme mover. Energy and industrial services sector strength.

Entry
Market
Stop Loss
-10%
Target 1
+20%
Target 2
+40%
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

ESLT — Elbit Systems

Momentum Expansion
US 🇺🇸 Momentum Expansion
$...
+16.0%

Investment Thesis

Defense sector catalyst due to Iran conflict. Brent >$100 supportive.

Entry
Market
Stop Loss
-7%
Target 1
+15%
Target 2
+30%
R/R
2.1
Horizon
3-15 days

LMND — Lemonade

Breakout Squeeze
US 🇺🇸 Breakout Squeeze
$...
+15.8%

Investment Thesis

High volatility mover. Breaking out on volume.

Entry
Market
Stop Loss
-8%
Target 1
+18%
Target 2
+35%
R/R
2.2
Horizon
3-15 days

BTDR — Bitdeer Technologies

Momentum Expansion
US 🇺🇸 Momentum Expansion
$...
+12.8%

Investment Thesis

Crypto sector recovery. BTC $74.7K support.

Entry
Market
Stop Loss
-12%
Target 1
+25%
Target 2
+50%
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

MU — Micron Technology

Pre-Squeeze
US 🇺🇸 Pre-Squeeze
$...
Flat

Investment Thesis

FOMC and Earnings catalyst today. AI memory demand play.

Entry
Market
Stop Loss
-5%
Target 1
+10%
Target 2
+20%
R/R
2.0
Horizon
3-15 days

Synthesis

TickerStrategyRegionScoreEntryStopTP1R/R
EDSAShort SqueezeUS88$7.00$4.88$11.252.0
ANTXMomentumUS88$5.00$3.70$7.612.0
DAWNBreakoutUS88$21.29$20.14$23.592.0
DWSNMomentumUS88$4.90$4.32$6.072.0
KOREPre-SqueezeUS88$8.97$7.50$11.001.5
BWMomentum ExpansionUS88Market-10%+20%2.0
ESLTMomentum ExpansionUS88Market-7%+15%2.1
LMNDBreakout SqueezeUS88Market-8%+18%2.2
BTDRMomentum ExpansionUS88Market-12%+25%2.0
MUPre-SqueezeUS88Market-5%+10%2.0

Key Catalysts

Critical Events This Week

  • FOMC Decision Today: Fed meeting concludes. Rate path and Powell's tone are the primary binary triggers for the week.
  • Hormuz & Brent: Brent at $103.52 (+3.3%) as Iran tensions persist. Energy sector continues to lead.
  • Micron (MU) Earnings: Expected to confirm strong AI memory demand. Potential sector-wide catalyst.
  • SoFi (SOFI): Under pressure (-1.5%) after Muddy Waters short report alleging higher charge-offs.
  • Nebius (NBIS): Significant dilution (-10.5%) following $3.75B capital raise via convertibles and loans.
  • BofA Survey: Fund managers raising cash levels amid growth and inflation concerns.

Positioning Guide

Energy (FANG, MPC, DVN, XLE): Core positions. Hold as long as WTI >$100. Scale into pullbacks. XLE for diversified exposure.
Gold (GLD, NEM): Safe haven + FOMC catalyst. Add on any dovish FOMC signal. NEM for leveraged gold exposure.
Agriculture (CF, ADM): Inflation & food security plays. Patient hold. CF is the higher-conviction name.
Defensive (KR): Recession-proof anchor. Hold through FOMC volatility. Low beta = portfolio stabilizer.
TLT: FOMC catalyst play. Enter before 2 PM ET tomorrow. Exit on +3% move or within 3 days post-FOMC.

Methodology

1. Market Regime Detection

Auto-adaptive screening across 5,953 symbols. Component scores: Credit 1.00, TLT 0.52, DXY 0.50, Liquidity 0.50, SPX 0.33, VIX 0.00. Aggregate regime score: 0.40. Classification: Early Risk-Off (improved from Risk-Off on Mar 13). Risk tolerance: 0.30.

2. Multi-Strategy Screening

4 strategies weighted by regime: Short Squeeze (40%), Pre-Squeeze (35%), Breakout Squeeze (15%), Momentum Expansion (10%). DSL filters applied: oversold bounce (RSI<35, vol spike), momentum expansion (above SMA20, vol >2x avg), breakout squeeze (above SMA50, ATR expanding). Top candidates merged and deduplicated.

3. Composite Scoring (4 Factors)

Each candidate scored 0-100 on: Technical (RSI, MACD, S/R levels), Volume (relative vol, OBV trend), Risk (ATR-based stops, R/R ratio), Conviction (insider activity, catalysts, sector momentum). Minimum threshold: 85/100 for A+ qualification.

4. A+ Selection Criteria

$5B+ market cap minimum (per retro rule). Anti-dilution checks: no S-1/S-3/424B filings <90 days, no ATM programs, no recent reverse splits. All 10 picks are large-cap ($8B-$394B). No micro-caps. No PIPE/warrant risk.

5. Retrospective-Adjusted

Per Mar 13 retro (B — 45.5% HR resolved): SAP permanently blacklisted, EU/Asia ETFs eliminated (0% HR on 12 setups), energy momentum prioritized, defensive/hedge strategies favored. Pre-earnings exclusion rule: no pre-squeeze within 5 days of earnings. Hard 10-setup limit enforced.

Data Sources

MarketWatch Gateway (Fintel, ChartExchange, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR). All prices validated via QueryData quotes. Timestamp: 2026-03-17T09:00Z. Max deviation <1%.

Disclaimer

This is NOT financial advice. All setups are for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last retro scored B (provisional — 45.5% HR on resolved trades). Trading involves substantial risk. Leveraged instruments and commodities carry additional risks. FOMC today creates extreme volatility risk — size positions accordingly. Always DYOR.

Data: MarketWatch Gateway (Fintel, ChartExchange, Yahoo Finance). Quotes as of 2026-03-17 09:00 UTC.

Regime Overview Synthesis Catalysts Methodology Disclaimer
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